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When U.S. and Israeli strikes hit Iran early Saturday morning, prediction markets faced the scenario critics and regulators had warned about days earlier.Kalshi’s Ali Khamenei ‘out of office’ contracts saw $21.7 million in volume across two markets before the exchange halted trading that afternoon. Polymarket’s equivalent contract — only available outside the U.S. — has been disputed twice, but accumulated more than $529 million in volume since opening in December.The two prediction markets took a different approach to handling both markets.Kalshi halted trading within hours of the strikes and issued reimbursementsPrices on the Khamenei contracts began climbing shortly following Trump’s…

Bitcoin’s future in an artificial intelligence-driven world may depend less on code and more on central banks.In a new note, Greg Cipolaro, global head of research at financial services and infrastructure firm NYDIG, argued that artificial intelligence will affect bitcoin mainly through macroeconomic channels and its impact on the labor market.The key variables are growth, employment, real interest rates and liquidity. Bitcoin, he writes, sits downstream of those forces.If automation cuts jobs and wages, consumer demand could weaken and, in a severe case, falling incomes would strain debt payments and pressure asset prices.Those fears appear to be well-grounded. Just this…

PANews, March 1st – In a week marked by repeated adjustments to Trump’s tariff policies and escalating geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran, global markets oscillated amidst policy uncertainty and risk aversion. Aside from geopolitical tensions, the main macroeconomic events next week are as follows: At 22:45 on Monday, the final reading of the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for February will be released. At 23:00 on Monday, the US February ISM Manufacturing PMI will be released. At 21:15 on Wednesday, the US February ADP employment figures will be released. The Federal Reserve will release its Beige Book on…

After exploring fundraising and acquisition options, the teams concluded that no sustainable recovery path existed following the breach. Solana-based DeFi aggregator, Step Finance, along with two other affiliate projects, SolanaFloor and Remora Markets, announced plans to shut down all operations with immediate effect. The decision follows the aftermath of a major security incident earlier this year. Hack, Halt, Shutdown In a statement shared on X, the teams said the decision came after exploring multiple paths forward, including fundraising and acquisition discussions. However, none resulted in a viable solution after the hack that occurred in late January. The incident involved an…

Bitcoin jumped to $68,000 early Sunday, recovering nearly all of Saturday’s war-driven losses within hours of Iranian state TV confirming that Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S. and Israeli airstrikes.Khamenei held ultimate authority over Iran’s military, foreign policy, and nuclear program. Under Iran’s constitution, a temporary council of the president, head of the judiciary, and a Guardian Council jurist assumes leadership duties until the Assembly of Experts appoints a successor.U.S. president Donald Trump, meanwhile, has urged Iranians to overthrow the regime, calling this “probably your only chance for generations.” Tehran has continued firing missiles at Israel, and…

It took Polymarket less than 24 hours to turn a Middle Eastern war into an active trading floor.Since the U.S. and Israel launched strikes on Iran Saturday, the prediction market has seen a flood of new contracts covering everything from ceasefire timelines to whether the Iranian regime will collapse by June.The speed and specificity of the markets is striking. Bettors aren’t just wagering on whether the conflict escalates, but pricing the week it ends, who replaces Khamenei, and whether U.S. ground forces enter Iran by March 7.Polymarket’s largest completed market is “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March…

Layer 2 was supposed to scale Ethereum. But what if it fragmented it instead?

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure Binance expanded its product suite on January 5 with the launch of gold futures trading, offering users 24/7 access to price exposure on the precious metal. The move reflects a broader trend within digital asset platforms: the convergence of traditional macro assets and crypto-native infrastructure. By introducing round-the-clock gold derivatives, Binance is positioning itself at the intersection of commodities and digital trading liquidity, enabling participants to hedge, speculate, or diversify without relying on legacy market hours. According to analysis shared by top analyst Darkfost, the timing is…

Morgan Stanley has applied for a de novo national trust bank charter, allowing the bank to hold digital assets on behalf of its clients — a move in rhythm with its recent crypto expansion. A public filing with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) shows the application for a bank trust charter was received on Feb. 18 under the name “Morgan Stanley Digital Trust, National Association.” More details of the business plan were released on Friday, according to reports from Bloomberg and Forbes, revealing that the Morgan Stanley subsidiary will custody certain digital assets and execute purchases, sales, swaps…

An analyst has pointed out where Solana support levels could lie based on a Parallel Channel forming in the asset’s weekly price chart. Solana Parallel Channel Could Indicate Support At These Levels In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has discussed how support is looking for Solana from the perspective of a Parallel Channel that may be emerging in its 7-day price. The “Parallel Channel” is a pattern from technical analysis (TA) that forms whenever an asset trades between two parallel trendlines. There are a few different ways a Parallel Channel can be categorized based on the orientation…